Inside Macron's new deterrence strategy: 8 European allies, 1 French nuclear button

PARIS (AP) — France is moving to align its nuclear deterrent strategy more closely with European allies while keeping full control over any strike decision — anunprecedented coordinationthat French PresidentEmmanuel Macrondescribed as crucial to bolstering the continent's strategic autonomy.

Associated Press French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech next to the submarine 'Le Temeraire' (The Temerarious) at the Nuclear submarines Navy base of Ile Longue in Crozon, France, Monday March 2, 2026. (Yoan Valat/Pool Photo via AP) Members of the French Navy are aboard a submarine awaiting the arrival of French President Emmanuel Macron at the nuclear submarine navy base of Ile Longue in Crozon, France, Monday March 2, 2026. (Yoan Valat/Pool Photo via AP) A Rafale aircraft takes part in a refueling operation moments before the arrival of French President Emmanuel Macron at the nuclear submarine navy base of Ile Longue in Crozon, France, Monday March 2, 2026.(Yoan Valat/Pool Photo via AP)

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Experts say the plan reflects growing doubts across Europe about U.S. reliability when it comes to the continent's defense. France has beenthe only nuclear power in the European Unionsince Britain's exit from the bloc in 2020.

Macron's move reflects that, in case of a nuclear crisis, France would be the one offering "some form of a nuclear security guarantee," said Florian Galleri, a nuclear deterrence expert at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's security studies program.

Speaking Monday from a top-secret submarine base in Western France, Macron announced "a new step of France's deterrence."

His speech marked what could be the start of a major shift in policy that would allow, for the first time, temporary deployment of French nuclear-armed aircraft to allied countries.

Macron said that Paris has started nuclear talks with eight nations — Britain, Germany, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Greece, Sweden and Denmark. Partners joining the initiative would see their territory "gain a clearly affirmed link to our deterrence," Macron said.

Europe would shoulder more of its own security

American allies have played a central role in Europe's defense since the end of World War II, protecting the continent through NATO's nuclear mission.

However, Macron noted, recent U.S. national security and defense strategies reflect a reshuffling of American priorities.

Faced with heightened tensions with Russia, which has a vast nuclear arsenal and is developing new missiles, and as China expands its nuclear forces, "our way of thinking must change," Macron said.

Outlining the new strategy he called "forward deterrence," Macron insisted that France won't share any decision-making since under its constitution, the president remains solely responsible for any decision on using nuclear weapons.

Still, that stance underscores a fundamental contradiction, Galleri said. "The strategic backing intended to integrate French nuclear deterrence into a collective European defense framework necessarily requires a degree of coordination and joint planning," he argued.

"One cannot, for example, carry out a nuclear strike without consulting a partner," he added.

France's new approach offers the possibility for partners to participate in deterrence exercises, Macron also said. In case of crisis, French nuclear forces could be supported by some European conventional capabilities.

That could involve early warning systems — allies' satellites and radars detecting and tracking missiles, engaging air defense and anti-drone protections and long-range deep-strike capabilities, he said.

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Ultimately, the new doctrine would allow the temporary deployment of nuclear-armed aircraft to allied countries across Europe, Macron added.

Strengthening France's nuclear arsenal

Macron also said that evolving defenses among France's competitors, the emergence of regional powers, possible coordination among adversaries and proliferation risks had led him to conclude that France must increase its number of nuclear warheads, for the first time since the 1990s and the end of the Cold War.

France currently possesses an estimated 290 warheads.

Héloïse Fayet, a nuclear deterrence specialist at the French Institute of International Relations, a Paris-based think tank, cited a part of Macron's speech where the president said France's nuclear deterrent is designed to inflict on an adversary "damage from which they would not recover."

That means "we must always be able to inflict that kind of damage," Fayet said while deploring Macron's decision not to publicize the numbers of France's warheads.

If Russia, for example, improved its defense systems, then France would need "more nuclear warheads," Fayet said.

Complementing NATO's mission

Macron made clear that any European coordination would come in addition to NATO's nuclear mission, in which France does not participate, and be compatible with the alliance's role in European security.

Ian Lesser, a NATO expert and distinguished fellow at the German Marshall Fund, said Macron's move "reflects the state of security in Europe" following Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, as well as the "growing uncertainty about the American security commitment to Europe."

Europe now has to "deal with a more aggressive Russia for some time to come," Lesser said.

NATO's deterrence works through a strong American troop presence in Europe, with U.S. nuclear weapons stationed there, including in Germany, Belgium and The Netherlands.

"The bulk of Europe's conventional deterrence is lodged in NATO — strategic command and organization, design and deployment," Lesser stressed.

"NATO is critical," he added and "France is really not looking to weaken that. So the point about it being complementary is important."

Associated Press writer Lorne Cook in Brussels contributed to this report.

Inside Macron’s new deterrence strategy: 8 European allies, 1 French nuclear button

PARIS (AP) — France is moving to align its nuclear deterrent strategy more closely with European allies while keeping ful...
Football is life! Cristo Fernandez from 'Ted Lasso' trying out for USL team

In the category of "life imitates art," it appears Dani Rojas is looking to take his talents to a real soccer field.

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Rojas lines up at center forward for AFC Richmond in the wildly popular Apple TV show "Ted Lasso."

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Now the actor who portrays Rojas, Cristo Fernández, is on trial with USL Championship side El Paso Locomotive, per multiple reports.

Fernández, 35, has been training with El Paso since last week and,per KTSM 9 News, he played 30 minutes in Saturday's preseason scrimmage against New Mexico United.

The Mexican actor can be seen prominently in the club's Instagram post following the matchup against New Mexico.

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Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton's Whirlwind

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Cosmopolitan lewis kim kardashian

We're only a few weeks into 2026 and we already have our first unexpected celebrity relationship: Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton have arrived. Though, apparently things are very casual and it's a "friends with benefits" situation, so don't get too excited. That said, these two have a lot of history despite the fact that their relationship is pretty fresh. Keep reading for a deep dive on their timeline–plus how Lewis responded to those Kendall Jenner rumors.

September 2, 2015

Kim and Lewis are photographed for the first time (with Nicole Scherzinger and Kanye West) at theGQMen Of The Year awards. Obviously, they're both in relationships with other people, so the vibes are strictly platonic!

gq men of the year awards inside arrivals

March 5, 2015

Kim and Kanye hang with Lewis again at the Balmain Aftershow Dinner during fashion week.

balmain: aftershow dinner paris fashion week womenswear fall/winter 2015/2016

September 14, 2015

The internet starts speculating that Lewis and Kendall Jenner are dating, which he promptly denies, tellingE! News"Me and Kendall have been friends for a while, so we're just friends."

November 1, 2021

Kim and Lewis hang at theWSJ. Magazine2021 Innovator Awards. (Note: she was dating Pete Davidson at the time!)

wsj. magazine 2021 innovator awards sponsored by samsung, harry winston, and rémy martin

December 31, 2025

Kim and Lewis both attend Kate Hudson's New Year's Eve party in Aspen, but it's an event packed with celebrities so no one really pays any attention. Pics below....

January 28, 2026

Kim opens up about her dating life to Khloé Kardashian on her podcast, saying—when asked if she's with anyone—"Honestly, no. Isn't that crazy?" She adds, "I just feel like my kids need me. It's really hard when I have to put them to bed every night. I get them up. I take them to school. I get them ready. They sleep in my bed. I haven't had time — and I'm okay with that. I thought, 'You know what? I'm going to be studying. I won't have time. When I'm done, I'll open myself up.' I opened myself up. But it's just, I haven't found anyone. And that's okay."

February 1, 2026

News of Kim and Lewis' relationship leaks thanks toThe Sunrevealing they spent the previous night on a romantic mini getaway to the Cotswolds. An insider says "They had a couples massage booked in and had full use of the facilities for just the two of them. It was all kept very quiet—they clearly wanted to have some time for just the two of them. In the evening, they had dinner in a private room so they didn't have other guests around. Estelle Manor is an incredible place to have a date, it's so luxurious and glamorous."

The couple allegedly spend the night of February 1 in London at the Rosewood Hotel, and a sourcesays"it was 'Netflix and chill' vibes — and they couldn't have been happier. When Kim went out to her event, Lewis stayed at the hotel and waited for her to come back."

February 2, 2026

Kim and Lewis head to Paris and Kim's spotted heading to a date at Aqua Kyoto in a totally transparent catsuit.

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Meanwhile, a source tellsThe Sunthey spent "most of their time together in their room and ordered food there" and were trying to be low key, "using side entrances at hotels, or are using hotels which have underground car parks. They'll then use lifts straight to their room. It's like a military operation moving them from place to place but Kim has her two bodyguards and Lewis has his close protection officer on hand to help things run smoothly."

February 3, 2026

Daily Mailreports that Lewis and Kim's relationship is just "friends with benefits" and that "Lewis and Kim are not dating exclusively. He's not looking to settle down with anyone, including Kim, but they are very cool with embracing the rumors and having a friend with benefits vibe."

Another insider added that Kim and Lewis "has a very calm spirit and he has been there for Kim through her complex co-parenting situation with Kanye," but that he "isn't looking to be a stepdad, not looking to be the 'it' couple with Kim. Their schedules are so demanding right now so this set up works for them."

February 8, 2026

Kim and Lewis are spotted at the Super Bowl!

February 9, 2026

Fans think they hear Lewis in the background of this video!

February 11, 2026

A source tellsPeopleKim "feel safe" and she "genuinely enjoys spending time with him."

"There's a comfort level there, because they've known each other for years," they add. "Kim's gone on dates and met people over the years, but Lewis is the first guy she's really into in a long time. She always liked him. She's excited about their romantic connection."

That said, Kim is "just taking things moment by moment and seeing where it goes. Her life is very much centered in Los Angeles with her kids and work. She's not thinking about the future right now, or putting any pressure on it."

March 2, 2026

Lewis and Kim arespottedat Lake Powell by paps, and then they share photos from their trip.

Stay tuned for updates!

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Who attacked a girls' school in Iran, and will there be accountability?

WASHINGTON – The search for the dead in the apparentU.S. or Israeli missile strikeon the Shajareh Tayyebehall-girls' elementary schoolin Iran has officially ended.

USA TODAY

But the questions surrounding the attack that killed at least 175 people have just begun, as international condemnation and calls for investigations – and accountability – were amplified on March 2.

"All alleged violations − including indiscriminate or disproportionate attacks, deliberate targeting of civilians or civilian infrastructure, and attacks on medical facilities and schools − must be promptly, independently, and transparently investigated," one of the world's oldest human rights organizations, the Paris-based International Federation for Human Rights (FIDH), said in a March 2 statement.

"Where evidence of war crimes or other serious violations is found," it added, "those responsible, regardless of rank or official capacity, must be held accountable in accordance with international law."

<p style=This picture obtained from Iran's ISNA news agency shows the site of a strike on a girls' school in Minab, in Iran's southern Hormozgan province, on February 28, 2026. The strike killed at least 175 people, according to Iranian media and officials.

According to President Donald Trump, the United States joined Israel in launching military strikes, as well as "major combat operations," to target Iran's missile capabilities. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in the joint strikes with Israel on Iran, an Israeli source confirmed to USA TODAY. Trump also confirmed on Truth Social that the leader had been killed.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Graves are being prepared for the victims following an Israeli strike on a school in Minab, Iran, March 2, 2026. This image was provided by the Iranian Foreign Media Department. People and rescue forces work following an Israel strike on a school in Minab, Iran, February 28, 2026. In this picture obtained from Iran's ISNA news agency, mourners cry during the funeral of children killed in a reported strike on a primary school in Iran's Hormozgan province, in Minab on March 3, 2026. Iranian media have reported hundreds of Iranian casualties, including at a girl's school. This image was provided by the Iranian ISNA news agency. People and rescue forces work following an Israel strike on a school in Minab, Iran, February 28, 2026. People and rescue forces work following an Israel strike on a school in Minab, Iran, February 28, 2026. Black smoke rises from a destroyed building at a school where, as the state media reports, several people were killed in an Israeli airstrike, following strikes by the United States and Israel against Iran, in Minab, Iran in this screengrab obtained from a social media video released on February 28, 2026. This picture obtained from Iran's ISNA news agency shows the site of a strike on a girls' school in Minab, in Iran's southern Hormozgan province, on February 28, 2026. The United States and Israel launched strikes against Iran on February 28, with Israel's public broadcaster reporting that supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had been targeted, as the Islamic republic retaliated with barrages of missiles at Gulf states and Israel. This picture obtained from Iran's ISNA news agency shows the site of a strike on a girls' school in Minab, in Iran's southern Hormozgan province, on February 28, 2026. The United States and Israel launched strikes against Iran on February 28, with Israel's public broadcaster reporting that supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had been targeted, as the Islamic republic retaliated with barrages of missiles at Gulf states and Israel. This picture obtained from Iran's ISNA news agency shows the site of a strike on a girls' school in Minab, in Iran's southern Hormozgan province, on February 28, 2026. The United States and Israel launched strikes against Iran on February 28, with Israel's public broadcaster reporting that supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had been targeted, as the Islamic republic retaliated with barrages of missiles at Gulf states and Israel. People gather at the site of a destroyed building at a school where, as the state media reports, several people were killed in an Israeli airstrike, following strikes by the United States and Israel against Iran, in Minab, Iran in this screengrab obtained from a social media video released on February 28, 2026. People gather at the site of a destroyed building at a school where, as the state media reports, several people were killed in an Israeli airstrike, following strikes by the United States and Israel against Iran, in Minab, Iran in this screengrab obtained from a social media video released on February 28, 2026. A view shows the aftermath of an Israel strike on a school in Minab, Iran, February 28, 2026. In this picture obtained from Iran's ISNA news agency, a mourner sprays flower petals on the coffins of children who were killed in a reported strike on a primary school in Iran's Hormozgan province during a funeral in Minab on March 3, 2026. Iranian media have reported hundreds of Iranian casualties, including at a girl's school. This image was provided by the Iranian ISNA news agency.

Over 100 killed at girls' school in Iran amid US-Israeli strikes, state media reports

This picture obtained from Iran's ISNA news agency shows the site ofa strike on a girls' school in Minab, in Iran's southern Hormozgan province, on February 28, 2026.The strike killed at least 175 people, according to Iranian media and officials.According toPresident Donald Trump, the United States joined Israel inlaunching military strikes, as well as "major combat operations," to target Iran's missile capabilities. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in the joint strikes with Israel on Iran, an Israeli source confirmed to USA TODAY. Trump also confirmed on Truth Social that the leader had been killed.

The Trump administration has neither ruled out nor admitted responsibility for the attack, which occurred during the opening wave of the U.S.-led operations on Feb. 28.

The Pentagon says it is reviewing the incident, but so far it has not publicly committed to a formal investigation, disciplinary action or other accountability measures.

"It would be difficult to establish a lawful basis for the strike on the school building at a time when it is full of children," David Scheffer, an international law expert who served as the first U.S. Ambassador-at-Large for War Crimes Issues, told USA TODAY. "It likely is a mistaken targeting decision or based on flawed intelligence about the use of that building."

Here's what to know.

What happened at Shajareh Tayyebeh?

The military strike on the elementary school in Minab, in the southern Hormozgan province near the Sea of Oman, is considered one of the biggest civilian casualty attacks in the newly launched U.S.-Israel war against Iran.

President Donald Trumphas defended the war as necessary in depriving a hostile enemy of nuclear weapons and missile capabilities.

The majority of victims were children, including dozens of young girls between the ages of 7 and 12, according to theIranian news agency IRNA and Iranian officials, in what they allege was an indiscriminate attack on civilians.

Hossein Kermanpour, a spokesman for Iran's health ministry,shared an X post on Feb. 28, calling the majority of those killed at the school "young child martyrs."

"God knows how many more children will be pulled out of the rubble," he wrote. "May God give their families strength and patience."

When the strike hit, the school washolding its first of multiple rotating school shifts, according to Hengaw, a Norway-based organization focusing on human rights violations in Iran. The group added that around 170 students are enrolled in the school's morning shift; however, it is unclear how many were in the building during the strike.

Why was the school struck?

It was not immediately clear why the school was targeted, but old satellite images indicate that the school was previously connected to a facility of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, or IRGC. Recent satellite images from 2016 showed that the school had since been separated from the IRGC base by a wall,The New York Timesreported.

Video footage of the area circulated online appears to show that the IRGC base was also targeted in the attack, which occurred during the opening phase of the U.S.-Israeli military campaign that began Feb. 28.

<p style=U.S. Vice President JD Vance speaks to Cabinet Secretaries during military operations in Iran, in the Situation Room at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S. February 28, 2026. The United States launched military strikes and "major combat operations" against Iran on Saturday, President Donald Trump said, targeting the country's missile capabilities.

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in the joint strikes with Israel on Iran, an Israeli source confirmed to USA TODAY.

This image was provided by The White House.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> U.S. President Donald Trump speaks with CIA Director John Ratcliffe, accompanied by White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, during military operations in Iran, at Trump's Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach, Florida, U.S. February 28, 2026. This image was provided by The White House. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine speaks during military operations in Iran, at U.S. President Donald Trump's Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach, Florida, U.S. February 28, 2026. This image was provided by The White House. U.S. President Donald Trump speaks with White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and Secretary of State Marco Rubio during military operations in Iran, at Trump's Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach, Florida, U.S. February 28, 2026. This image was provided by The White House. An NBC News live feed airs a clip from U.S. President Donald Trump's Truth Social video announcement in the White House James S. Brady Press Briefing Room on February 28, 2026 in Washington, DC. U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the United States and Israel had launched an attack on Iran Saturday morning. A satellite image shows black smoke rising and heavy damage at Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's compound, following strikes by the United States and Israel against Iran, in Tehran, Iran February 28, 2026.

See inside White House and Mar-a-Lago as US leaders monitor attack on Iran

U.S. Vice President JD Vance speaks to Cabinet Secretariesduring military operations in Iran, in the Situation Room at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S. February 28, 2026. The United Stateslaunched military strikesand "major combat operations" against Iran on Saturday, PresidentDonald Trumpsaid, targeting the country's missile capabilities.

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in the joint strikes with Israel on Iran, an Israeli source confirmed to USA TODAY.This image was provided by The White House.

What do US officials say?

So far, the response from the Trump administration has been muted.

The White House has not commented. The Defense Department has offered little response except to say it is probing reports of civilian casualties.

"We are aware of reports concerning civilian harm resulting from ongoing military operations. We take these reports seriously and are looking into them," said Capt. Tim Hawkins, a spokesperson for the U.S. Central Command, which oversees American military operations in the region.

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"The protection of civilians is of utmost importance," Hawkins said, "and we will continue to take all precautions available to minimize the risk of unintended harm."

The bombing of the school did not come up at Secretary of DefensePete Hegseth's news briefing March 2 with the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Dan Caine.

But Hegseth described the mission of the U.S. campaign, dubbed "Operation Epic Fury," as being "laser-focused" on destroying Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities.

"We're hitting them surgically, overwhelmingly and unapologetically," Hegseth told reporters.

"As the President warned," Hegseth also said, "an effort of this scope will include casualties. War is hell and always will be."

What do war crimes and humanitarian laws say?

Such attacks on schools, especially intentional ones, can be war crimes under international and even U.S. rules of engagement, legal experts told USA TODAY March 2.

At the very least, they are grounds for intensive investigations into how the target was chosen, who authorized it and whether it was intentional.

Col. Morris Davis, a former war crimes prosecutor who retired as the director of the Air Force Judiciary, said the laws of war are clear: Schools and other civilian targets cannot be targeted unless there is clear evidence that enemy forces are using the facility for operations, to store weapons, to quarter troops or for other acts of war.

A drone photo shows the damage over residential homes and a school at the impact site following a missile attack from Iran on Israel, in Bnei Brak, Israel June 16, 2025. REUTERS/Chen Kalifa

"You saw that in Gaza, where you can have a protected site that is converted to a prohibited use, and it loses protected status," Davis said.

"Obviously, this is a monumental incident and typically an investigation would be convened to determine two things," said Davis, the former chief prosecutor at the U.S. military base in Guantanamo Bay. "One is to determine accountability, and another for lessons learned. How do we prevent this from happening again?"

In an investigation, some of the questions that should be asked would include: Was the school the intended target? Was it struck while attacking the nearby IRGC facility? And if so, what intelligence supported the strike, and were civilian risk estimates conducted?

Such investigations would be ordered and overseen by the military leader in charge of that theater, according to military policy, in this case, the commander of Central Command, Davis told USA TODAY.

"But I think that's something that in the current environment, would be a good way to be unemployed come Monday," Davis said, citing remarks about the current war by Hegseth and other officials. "So do I expect anybody to be held accountable? No."

What are human rights organizations saying?

Iran's government labeled the attack on the school a war crime and demanded action by the United Nations.

UNESCO, the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, alsocondemned the attackon the school as "a grave violation of humanitarian law."

<p style=A satellite image shows black smoke rising and heavy damage at Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's compound, following strikes by the United States and Israel against Iran, in Tehran, Iran February 28, 2026. Khamenei was killed in the joint strikes with Israel on Iran, an Israeli source confirmed to USA TODAY.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> A satellite image shows heavy traffic, following strikes by the United States and Israel against Iran, in Tehran, Iran February 28, 2026. A satellite image shows a frigate on fire at the Konarak naval base in Iran, February 28, 2026. A satellite image shows a frigate on fire at the Konarak naval base in Iran, February 28, 2026. A satellite image shows drones dispersed at an airbase in Konarak, Iran February 28, 2026. A satellite image shows drones dispersed at an airbase in Konarak, Iran February 28, 2026.

See inside White House and Mar-a-Lago as US leaders monitor attack on Iran

A satellite image shows black smoke rising and heavy damage at Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's compound,following strikes by the United States and Israel against Iran, in Tehran, Iran February 28, 2026. Khameneiwas killed in the joint strikes with Israel on Iran, an Israeli source confirmed to USA TODAY.

UNSecretary-General António Guterresalso condemned the attack, as well as the retaliatory strikes by Iran that hit several Middle Eastern countries.

The International Federation for Human Rights was one of numerous organizations to call on the U.S. and Israel to quickly investigate the matter to determine who ordered the strike, what information they possessed at the time.

The group singled out the attack on the school targeting civilian infrastructure, saying "a majority" of the victims were children. But it cited other reports indicating that hundreds of civilians have also been killed in various Iranian cities, including in attacks on hospitals.

Contributing: Jonathan Limehouse

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY:Rights groups want answers in attack on Iran girls school. Here's why

Who attacked a girls' school in Iran, and will there be accountability?

WASHINGTON – The search for the dead in the apparentU.S. or Israeli missile strikeon the Shajareh Tayyebehall-girls' ...
Cheap, effective and battle-tested by Russia: Iran leans on Shahed drones to penetrate U.S. defenses

As the United States and its Middle East allies face Tehran's response to President Donald Trump's renewed bombardment of Iran, they must find a solution to a growing problem: drones.

NBC Universal Iranian-made Shahed-136 drone flies over the sky of Kermanshah, Iran. (Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images)

Cheap and simple to produce, Iran's Shahed drones are unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) used to overwhelm air defenses in conjunction with other missiles. They have been used to successfully bombard a U.S. embassy, a radar system, an airport and a high-rise, videos on social media show. The issue, experts say, is the long-term ability to intercept them.

"The threat from one-way attack UAVs has remained persistent," Gen. Dan Caine, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said at a briefing Monday. "Our systems have proven effective in countering these platforms, engaging targets rapidly."

The U.S. has not released data on the munitions it faced and shot down. Information from the United Arab Emirates' Defense Ministry shows that Iran has launched hundreds of Shahed drones at the Gulf state, of which just over 90% have been intercepted.

Those interceptions have come at a high cost. The U.S. and its allies generally deploy aircraft or the Patriot air defense system to protect from bombardment, but while the price of one Shahed isestimated to be $30,000 to $50,000, one interceptorcan cost 10 times thator more while exhausting already dwindling stockpiles.

"If this goes on longer, they're probably going to have to find more sustainable ways of doing this," said Kelly Grieco, a senior fellow at the Stimson Center, a Washington think tank.

Grieco calculated that for every $1 Iran spent manufacturing a Shahed drone, it costs the UAE about $20 to $28 to intercept it, according to the available data.

"A war like this is literally what Iran built them for," said Kyle Glen, an investigator with the London-based nonprofit Center for Information Resilience.

The U.S. and Israel unloaded a wave of fire on Iran since the military operation began overnight Friday, targeting its naval bases and ballistic missile storage sites to limit its capacity for response. Iran retaliated by launching hundreds of drones and missiles at U.S. bases, airports and energy infrastructure, apparently in an attempt to inflict both a political and an economic cost on the U.S. and its allies.

Iran has always counted on facing a superior military, Glen said. That has pushed it to explore asymmetric warfare, in which smaller or technologically inferior forces look for ways to frustrate or exhaust the enemy.

Drones are a prime example. The Shahed can be made cheaply with dual-use components and launched off the back of a truck. Unlike missiles, which require vast infrastructure, the drones can be assembled covertly.

Russia saw the benefits of the Shahed drones early. In November 2022, it purchased the technology and 6,000 units for $1.75 billion from Iran, according to areport by C4ADS, a Washington-based nonprofit global security organization.

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"Russia has put a hell of a lot more development into these weapons than Iran has in recent years," Glen said.

The Russians have launched 57,000 such drones at Ukrainian cities and infrastructure so far, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in a video address Saturday. Their telltale buzz has become so ubiquitous in the Ukrainian skies that they have become colloquially known as "mopeds."

Ukraine has built out a multipronged system involving mobile groups, interceptor drones and other missiles to defend itself against that type of weapon, which Russia has continued to upgrade.

"Thanks to the fact that the Shahed has passed its baptism by fire in Ukraine, they managed to substantially improve it, modernize it, install additional communication channels, protection from electronic warfare systems — that is, test this weapon in battle," said Col. Yuri Ihnat, a spokesman for the Ukrainian air force.

Despite Ukraine's unique experience, partners have not directly requested help countering Shaheds, Zelenskyy said in a voice memo responding to reporter questions.

"Regarding our drone and air operators, we have very experienced personnel," he said. "We are ready to share this knowledge."

The use of expensive and difficult-to-manufacture methods to knock down such an unsophisticated weapon points to the apparent failure of the U.S. to learn the lessons from Ukraine, said George Barros, a senior analyst at the Institute for the Study of War think tank.

"None of these things are novel techniques," Barros said.

It puts the U.S. in a vulnerable position as the number of global conflicts grows and allies clamor for Patriot interceptors, of which the U.S. produces only about 600 annually, Barros said.

Grieco of the Stimson Center said: "For 30 years, the United States and other Western air forces had easily gained air superiority — if not air supremacy — over enemy battlefields and therefore neglected investing in air and missile defense capabilities. And what we have found is that it's really hard to ramp up this production."

U.S. adversaries, meanwhile, grow their drone production. Even if the majority of drones and missiles are intercepted, the ones that puncture defenses can cause deadly damage. The Iranians can choose to engage in a war of attrition, as the Russians have, firing their cheap munition for as long as they can while watching U.S. defensive stockpiles draw down.

Other countries will take note. Last year, Ukrainian intelligence services warned that North Korea may have received Shahed drone technology from Russia. Iran also provided the weapon to the Houthis in Yemen and the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, according to theOpen Source Munitions Portal, a weapons tracking project. Seeing their effectiveness, other cash-strapped regimes may be inspired to create their own versions.

"Everything points to this being a grave threat to the world, to the West, to stability," said Omar Al-Ghusbi, an analyst at C4ADS and a co-author of the Shahed report. "I don't see it going away anytime soon."

Cheap, effective and battle-tested by Russia: Iran leans on Shahed drones to penetrate U.S. defenses

As the United States and its Middle East allies face Tehran's response to President Donald Trump's renewed bombar...

 

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